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From reflections on the volatility of 2007-08, to introducing new terms like "Big Dumb Money," and thoughts on building mental frameworks for investing, David reacts to his past essays with fresh insights for today's markets. I know 2007 wasn't great for investors. The first is, I didn't even remember 2007 almost zeroed out.
Typically, and I go back to 2007 or 1999, I went back and pulled quotes from like before every recession and right before every recession, jobs, unemployment was super low. Unemployment in 2007 was historic lows. The interesting thing about being a private investor is you get a lot more information. People say, "Look at jobs."
JOHNSON: By 2019, it was, I think, nine to 10 years, and by 2022, it was 14 to 15 years before they were going public, right? You have half the number of publiccompanies that you had in 2000. And so you look at, well, why go public, right? A publiccompany has quarterly earnings pressure. RITHOLTZ: Right.
Just really a fascinating history from, from a privatecompany to a publiccompany back to a, a partnership. He is uniquely situated because he has run both public mutual funds as well as privates, including late stage venture private equity credit down the list. Really interesting.
But there’s also a lot of, like at Wittel, you know, I was at Wachtel in 2005 to 2007, so really near the peak of a big merger’s boom. Explain Matt Levine : 00:14:13 If a bad thing happens at a publiccompany, publiccompany does a bad thing. And I love that. I thought that was really fun.
They invest primarily in private and publiccompanies. So I had started a third company called Room 77 that we had end up selling to Google. I had just gotten married in the fall of 2007. Or are you looking at startups or privatecompanies that have been for around for a while that are potential disruptors?
After a long pause, it looks as though the market for initial public offerings (IPOs) may be heating up again. Even amid tariff uncertainty clouding the near-term picture, several privatecompanies are now on track to go public. Eventually, StubHub sold itself to eBay in January 2007 for $310 million.
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