Sat.Jan 21, 2023 - Fri.Jan 27, 2023

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5 Numbers That Will Tell Us How the U.S. Economy Does This Year

A Wealth of Common Sense

This continues to be one of the more confusing economic environments in history. Every other day the narrative switches between an imminent recession and a soft landing. Neither outcome would surprise me at this point. Some economic indicators are screaming slowdown while others are giving an all-clear. This state of limbo is making it difficult to know what’s going to happen.

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ChatGPT is everything you wanted Bitcoin to be

The Reformed Broker

Bitcoin is a middling technology that, 15 years after its introduction to the world, still does not have a single legitimate use case in the developed world where it’s the best possible solution to a problem. It’s worse than our traditional stores of value (gold, US dollar) because of its inherent volatility (roughly 5x more volatile than the stock market).

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Stop Worrying About All Those Tech Layoffs…

The Big Picture

I wanted to drop a quick note about the endless spate of layoff announcements — and why you should (mostly) ignore them. Let’s start with some numbers: Microsoft 22,000 (10%) Amazon 18,000 (1%) Google 12,000 (6.4%) Salesforce 7,000 (10%) Tesla 10,000 (10%) Twitter 3,700 (50%) Apple 0 (0%) Keep in mind a few things as you con

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The AI Assist

A VC: Musings of a VC in NYC

I wrote last week that I have started coding again. And I have been amazed at how much easier it is now that I can code and deploy in the cloud without having to spin up anything myself. But the other massive improvement in programming is the “AI assist.” I am working in a Javascript library called jQuery and I don’t really understand its commands and syntax very well.

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Can the U.S. Stock Market Continue to Dominate the Long Run?

A Wealth of Common Sense

A reader asks: I’ve heard you say quite a few times that “trees don’t grow to the sky”, and you’re usually talking a particular company or Bitcoin or maybe ARK, etc. But could the same be true for the stock market in general, i.e., does it hit a point where it simply can’t grow anymore. After all, money and dollar are scarce and limited. If everyone hypothetically invests, we can’t all become millionaires, r.

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This Week on TRB

The Reformed Broker

Hung with my friends Haley Sacks (Mrs. Dow Jones), Pat McAuliffe (Barstool Sports) and Gabe Walker (PRE.VEYOR) at the Knicks game this week. That’s after doing Closing Bell from the NYSE and then a quick slice at Joe’s Pizza (“Famous Since 1975). A very New York night, really reminded me of what I love so much about this town, despite its flaws and annoyances.

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More Trending

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Is crypto really riskier than climate change?

Financial Times: Moral Money

Plus, investors push for battery metals transparency

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Perfect is the Enemy of Good

A Wealth of Common Sense

One of the strange things about growing older is you begin to realize how much your place in life determines your taste in entertainment. There are movies and TV shows that stand the test of time but there are also many that hold a special place in your heart simply because you watched them at a certain age. There are movies that I loved as a little kid that I probably wouldn’t relate to as much today.

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Wait for it

The Reformed Broker

I had a bit of a flashback last night to the year 2000, sitting in my office after hours watching JDS Uniphase collapse on the heels of its conference call after reporting “better than expected” earnings for the quarter. Throughout 2000, techs and telecoms were still making a ton of profit, but it was becoming apparent that they were still coasting on the spend from 1999.

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How to Avoid Financial Disasters

The Big Picture

I am genuinely excited about a new presentation I have been working on since the holidays: How to Avoid Financial Disasters. My career in finance has coincided with an amazing string of disasters, ranging from the analyst scandal, IPO spinning, and accounting restatements, to say nothing of Enron, Bernie Madoff, and FTX. The TL:DR version: there are three big problems that HNW and UHNW investors that lead to a devastating loss of capital: 1.

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Costcutter owner Bestway takes 3.45% stake in Sainsbury’s

Financial Times M&A

Wholesale and retail conglomerate says it may look to buy more shares in the UK supermarket chain

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6 Questions I’m Pondering

A Wealth of Common Sense

Six questions I’m thinking about right now: Is inflation falling because things are normalizing or because we’re going into a recession? This is going to be one of the hardest economic questions to answer in the coming months as inflation falls. One thing is for sure — we are NOT in a recession right now. The 4th quarter of last year saw real GDP grow at an annualized pace of 2.9%.

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For Blood and Money

The Reformed Broker

Welcome to the latest episode of The Compound & Friends. This week, Michael Batnick, Nathan Vardi, and Downtown Josh Brown discuss Nathan’s book (For Blood and Money), the biotech landscape, hedge fund returns, the GOAT of investing, venture capital, why the market is rallying, and much more! You can listen to the whole thing below, or find it wherever you like to listen to your favorite pods!

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10 Wednesday AM Reads

The Big Picture

My mid-week morning train WFH reads: • NYSE Investigates Technical Issue That Caused Wild Market Open : At least 40 S&P 500 stocks were hit with trading halts. NYSE says it’s investigating issues with the opening auction. ( Bloomberg ) • For Tech Companies, Years of Easy Money Yield to Hard Times : Rock-bottom rates were the secret engine fueling $1 billion start-ups and virtual attempts to conquer the physical world.

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Apollo and Marcelo Claure explore buyout of LatAm telco Millicom

Financial Times M&A

Private equity group has shown recent appetite for investing in communications sector

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Welcome Alexander Bailey

Tobias Financial

We are excited to welcome Alexander Bailey to our team. He serves as our Financial Planning Associate and is currently working toward earning his CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER professional certification. He is passionate about learning the intricacies of financial planning and learning how to apply that knowledge in our clients’ financial plans to help guide them on their financial journeys.

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Clips From Today’s Halftime Report

The Reformed Broker

Final Trades: Qualcomm, Chevron, Carlyle Group & more from CNBC. The post Clips From Today’s Halftime Report appeared first on The Reformed Broker.

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10 Weekend Reads

The Big Picture

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a mug of Colombia Tolima Los Brasiles Peaberry Organic coffee, grab a seat outside, and get ready for our longer-form weekend reads: • The Art and Science of Spending Money : Money “the greatest show on earth” because of its ability to reveal things about people’s character and values. How people invest their money tends to be hidden from view.

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Australian battery company signals plan to bid for Britishvolt

Financial Times M&A

Founder of Recharge Industries to meet UK officials this week

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State Street boss says facts ‘left aside’ in attacks on ESG funds

Financial Times: Moral Money

Ron O’Hanley calls incorporating climate into corporate governance ‘a matter of value, not values’

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Clips From Today’s Closing Bell

The Reformed Broker

IBM beats on top line, profits in margin from CNBC. The post Clips From Today’s Closing Bell appeared first on The Reformed Broker.

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SUPD: Debt Ceiling,Inflation and much more

The Big Picture

Most podcasts have a Q&A between a guest and the host. Whenever I get together with Pete, it’s just two idiot friends BS-ing about whatever. I hope you enjoy this hour-long discussion about everything and nothing. (We start at the 15:15 mark). Pete always sneaks in some early chitchat that is candid and I don’t expect to make it to the show; after 4 years, I should know better.

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Murdoch scraps merger of Fox and News Corp after investor pushback

Financial Times M&A

Media tycoon in talks to sell stake in digital property group instead

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Talk Your Book: The Biggest Short Squeeze of All Time

A Wealth of Common Sense

Today’s Talk Your Book is brought to you by KraneShares: Today we are joined by Luke Oliver, Managing Director, Head of Climate Investments, and Head of Strategy at Kraneshares to discuss Kraneshares suite of climate ETFs. On today’s show, we discuss: How emissions are financialized Voluntary vs compliant carbon markets How emissions are related to political risk How the ETF is constructed What drives carbon price H.

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Clips From Today’s Halftime Report

The Reformed Broker

Final Trades: Live Nation, Chevron, Citigroup and more from CNBC. The post Clips From Today’s Halftime Report appeared first on The Reformed Broker.

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Finally, You Can Stop to Smell the Roses in Retirement

Integrity Financial Planning

Retirement is a time for rest, relaxation, and a chance to sit back and appreciate all that we have gained. No longer do we have to rush around trying to meet deadlines or fulfill the demands of a boss. Instead, we can take the time to slow down and truly enjoy the moments we have planned. Gone are the days of frantically rushing from one task to the next, always chasing after success and the next big thing.

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Sainsbury’s/Bestway: stake deal may herald further collaboration

Financial Times M&A

Rising costs have put the squeeze on every part of food supply chains

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Animal Spirits: Is the Stock Market Getting Ahead of Itself?

A Wealth of Common Sense

Today’s Animal Spirits is brought to you by YCharts: Enter your information here to get 20% off YCharts (new clients only) On today’s show, we discuss: The narrative vortex December 2022 retail sales Auto market weekly summary: January 13 Tesla’s price cuts are roiling the car market Over 5M new US startups show Covid-era boom has legs Google laid off high performers and earners while largely sparing &#821.

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UK pension schemes search out forestry investments

Financial Times: Moral Money

Nest and Cushon schemes with £26bn under management look to put funds into trees as a growth area

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Why you shouldn’t seek to shine

Million Dollar Round Table (MDRT)

By Thomas F. Levasseur, CLU, MS Ed. I’ve been an MDRT member for more than 30 years. During that time, I’ve served on numerous committees and task forces where I got to rub elbows with great leaders. From those experiences, I’ve found that an important part of life is seeking to serve, not to shine. The desire to shine can cause you to get in your own way.

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Dignity agrees £281mn takeover offer

Financial Times M&A

Deal comes as UK funeral provider warns rising costs will hit profit

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Let’s Talk Social Security

Integrity Financial Planning

For most, Social Security provides a solid foundation for retirement income. In fact, as of September 2022, over 70 million Americans were collecting benefits. [1] However, not everyone knows exactly how or when to start tapping into this resource. As you grow older and retirement looms on the horizon, the decisions you make start to have a more crucial impact on the amount of money you receive, so it’s important that you know what to expect.

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The key debates at WEF 2023

Financial Times: Moral Money

Corporate world sours on Scope 3 reporting, green hydrogen excitement is mounting and more

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Attract clients: Add digital experiences that enhance, not frustrate

Million Dollar Round Table (MDRT)

By Lisa Apolinski, CMC How important is your website to prospects? Quite a bit. According to HubSpot, 65% of consumers state that the experience they encounter on a website is a “very important” factor in recommending a brand. Also, 75% expect new technologies to create memorable and better experiences. If you don’t want your website to turn away prospects before you even get to talk with them, how can you create memorable digital consumer experiences?