The Reformed Broker
DECEMBER 1, 2022
LET’S GIVE A ROUND OF APPLAUSE TO SAM BANKMAN-FRIED pic.twitter.com/HIVB3nTX2V — The_Real_Fly (@The_Real_Fly) November 30, 2022 Last night’s interview between the New York Times’ Andrew Ross Sorkin and Sam Bankman-Fried ended with the host thanking the accused criminal mastermind for coming, despite the protestations of his lawyers. The audience applauded as the screen went black.
A Wealth of Common Sense
NOVEMBER 27, 2022
It feels like we can’t go a week without some crazy cheating scandal popping up. First, there were the professional fishermen who put lead weights and raw fish fillets into the fish they caught to literally tip the scales in their favor. Then there was the bizarre chess cheating affair where one of the top players in the world was accused of using a vibrating device placed in his rear end.
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Mish Talk
DECEMBER 2, 2022
Payroll and employment data from the BLS, chart by Mish. Today, the Bureau of Labor Statistics released its Monthly Payroll Report. Initial Thoughts The discrepancy between jobs and employment continues for the eighth month. Lost in the unemployment and jobs headline noise are huge divergences between jobs and employment dating back to March. Payrolls vs Employment Since March 2022 Nonfarm Payrolls: +2,692,000 Employment Level: +12,000 Full Time Employment: -398,000 Employment fell by 138,000 in
The Big Picture
DECEMBER 1, 2022
As we have been discussing since May of this year, there are increasing signs we have been groping for a bottom in the equity markets. This “Process” is not a single event but rather, a series of events the totality of which increasingly weighs the probability towards that positive resolution. I use the word probability because this outcome is not pre-ordained, but rather, subject to future events which have yet to unfold.
Investment Writing
NOVEMBER 28, 2022
Can you spot what’s wrong in the image below? Please post your answer as a comment. I wince every time I hear someone use this expression. I post these challenges to raise awareness of the importance of proofreading. The post MISTAKE MONDAY for November 28: Can YOU spot what’s wrong? appeared first on Susan Weiner Investment Writing.
A Wealth of Common Sense
NOVEMBER 29, 2022
When Russia invaded Ukraine in late-February, the price of oil was a little more than $90 a barrel. It basically went straight up from there to well over $120 a barrel in about a week and a half. Gas prices quickly moved up as well, getting as high as more than $5 a gallon by early summertime. The energy picture felt bleak at the time and it seemed like it was only a matter of time until we broke through all-time highs in.
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The Big Picture
DECEMBER 2, 2022
It is amazing to think about how Toyota blew its enormous lead in Hybrid tech, failing to launch any substantial push into EVs. The chart below shows exactly how much sales have fallen for the first hybrid EV America has fallen into — and then out of love with. The Prius today badly lags the RAV4, its sister crossover, in Toyota hybrid sales. But the latest design is a handsome reboot, and should help sales pick up.
The Reformed Broker
NOVEMBER 30, 2022
Let’s assume we’re going to have a recession in 2023. I don’t know if we will, but everyone seems to think so, so let’s just say. So what. What can you do to stop it? Not much. Can you change your own spending and psych yourself up to survive it? Absolutely. Are there changes you could make to a portfolio in order to gird yourself for a worsening economy?
A Wealth of Common Sense
DECEMBER 1, 2022
A reader asks: We own a cash-flowing rental property with a sub-3% mortgage with 28 years remaining. On the Aug 18th episode of Portfolio Rescue, Barry said “Real estate more or less returns zero net of inflation.” However, does this statement take into account the leverage provided by a mortgage? Return comparisons between stocks and real estate seem to favor stocks, but it’s not clear whether these com.
Mish Talk
NOVEMBER 29, 2022
Monthly average Fed Funds Rate via St. Louis Fed. Chart Notes I use monthly averages because the Fed now targets a range. Also the Fed Funds Target Rate is discontinued and only dates to 1982. This is the steepest, most aggressive hiking cycle ever. You can see the impact especially in mortgage rates and thus housing. 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rates 1975-Present. 30-year fixed mortgage rates courtesy of Mortgage News Daily. 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rates - One Year. 30-year fixed mortgage rates court
The Big Picture
DECEMBER 2, 2022
This was a fun conversation with my buddy Pete about all the media madness these days — it was as I was recovering from C19, and while I felt fine, my voice sounds pretty gravelly. If you find that kind of thing tolerable, people seemed to really like this discussion. Lots more details here. Enjoy! The post November 2022: Stand Up with Pete appeared first on The Big Picture.
A VC: Musings of a VC in NYC
NOVEMBER 28, 2022
When markets are in turmoil, like they have been for most of this year, I like to have a buy-and-hold mindset when it comes to making new investments. It is hard to know when you’ve reached the bottom and can start buying again, but if you think about a ten or twenty-year hold, then it becomes a bit easier. The Gotham Gal and I buy and build a fair bit of real estate on the side and we generally use a “cap rate” of between 5 and 10 when we acquire and develop real estate.
A Wealth of Common Sense
DECEMBER 2, 2022
Some charts I came across this week along with some thoughts on each: The bear market is speeding up the move from active to passive: This trend has been in place for a while now but the bear market is accelerating things. It makes sense if you think about it in terms of a down year in the stock market where people with long-term gains are more willing to get out of a position to make a portfolio change.
Mish Talk
NOVEMBER 30, 2022
Image courtesy of StockCharts.Com. The Federal Reserve posts a Transcript of Powell's Speech on Inflation and the Labor Market. Powell put a spotlight on core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation, noting that it is stubbornly high despite the Fed's rate hikes. Key Powell Comments (Emphasis Mine) Twelve-month core PCE inflation stands at 5.0 percent in our October estimate, approximately where it stood last December when policy tightening was in its early stages.
The Big Picture
NOVEMBER 30, 2022
Last day of the 11th month! Enjoy the end of November with our mid-week morning train reads: • How Much Growth Can You Expect? Imagine I present to you a magical box that can turn your money into more money. The only problem is that you don’t know exactly how much more money you’ll get from this box. You could put $100 into the box and get back $200, $400, or maybe only $150 when all is said and done.
Financial Times M&A
DECEMBER 1, 2022
Middle Eastern investors flush with cash push into sector in search for yield
The Reformed Broker
NOVEMBER 28, 2022
Hey guys, hope everyone had a nice Thanksgiving. Five day weekends are rare, hope yours was relaxing and fun. I’ll be in Houston for three days next week – my first time ever in that city! We’re taping a live version of The Compound and Friends podcast at the Dynasty Investors Forum. I will also be interviewing my friend Patrick O’Shaughnessy on stage about the custom and direct indexing revolution.
A Wealth of Common Sense
NOVEMBER 28, 2022
Today’s Talk Your Book is brought to you by Madison Investments: See here to learn more about investing in Madison Investments strategies and managed account solutions and here for disclosure information On today’s show, we are joined by Ray Di Bernardo, VP and Portfolio Manager of Madison Investments to discuss covered call strategies in today’s market On today’s show we discuss: What Madison Inv.
The Big Picture
NOVEMBER 28, 2022
Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. The Coincident State Indexes for October 2022 snuck out last week right before Thanksgiving. You might have missed it during the holiday week, but it’s worth reviewing. The specifics are noteworthy: -Over the past month, the indexes increased in 20 states, decreased in 22 states, and remained stable in eight, making a one-month diffusion index of -4.
Financial Times M&A
NOVEMBER 30, 2022
Blank-cheque companies in Asian financial hubs show little results
Financial Times: Moral Money
NOVEMBER 27, 2022
We need to invest in the tools that enable people to stay well in work and prevent our workers from reaching crisis point
The Reformed Broker
NOVEMBER 26, 2022
Hope everyone’s had a happy Thanksgiving. The shot above is from our annual Turkey Bowl football match. I had one reception and spent most of the game on the line where I belong, counting mississippis and menacing their QB. We’ve been playing in this game with the neighborhood dads and kids since the boys were babies. My son and his friends are all teenagers now.
The Big Picture
NOVEMBER 26, 2022
The weekend is here! Pour yourself a mug of Danish Blend coffee, grab a seat by the fire, and get ready for our longer-form weekend reads: • Climate Change from A to Z : The stories we tell ourselves about the future. ( New Yorker ). • A comprehensive guide to how Elon Musk is changing Twitter : Mass layoffs, trolling, and check marks: How Elon Musk is running Twitter. ( Vox ) see also Twitter was special.
Financial Times M&A
NOVEMBER 30, 2022
Purchase comes in wake of heightened scrutiny on sector after collapse of FTX
Covisum
DECEMBER 2, 2022
Lately, there have been a lot of conversations surrounding the current market state, and many retirees are worried about their investments. One of the most challenging aspects of financial planning is setting reasonable performance expectations. Of course, no one can predict the future, but the right financial planning software can help you make wise investment decisions based on available factors.
Integrity Financial Planning
DECEMBER 2, 2022
It’s no doubt that, when it comes to fashion, the 60s and 70s carried the most vibrant, electric trends. Your generation has made the largest footprint in the world of fashion, creating iconic and stylish clothing that, even today, still resurfaces and remains just as cool. You may have already noticed the unexpected return of bell bottoms and flowing attire through your kids or grandkids.
The Big Picture
NOVEMBER 28, 2022
5 years ago, a dear friend unexpectedly passed away. Once his crew recovered from our initial shock, we decided to establish the Richard Yamarone Memorial Scholarship in Economics at Brooklyn College.* The driving force behind the scholarship was TBP Invictus. Art Cashin shared a reminder today: “Many of us were deeply saddened (5 yearsa go today) to learn of the sudden passing of Rich Yamarone at age 55 of complications of a cardiac event.
Financial Times M&A
NOVEMBER 29, 2022
Swiss group to spin out meal kit business and announces review of peanut allergy treatment
Financial Times: Moral Money
NOVEMBER 30, 2022
A conversation with BHP chief Mike Henry
XY Planning Network
NOVEMBER 28, 2022
7 MIN READ. We see many advisors with successful careers in financial planning and investment management influenced at some level by the ability to cross every “T” and dot every “I.” So it's very natural for them to feel a little anxious about whether or not every detail has been properly executed when making the leap to independence or even moving between firms.
The Big Picture
NOVEMBER 26, 2022
This week, we speak with Boaz Weinstein, the chief investment officer of Saba Capital Management LP, which Weinstein founded in 2009 as a lift-out of Saba Principal Strategies. Prior to founding Saba, Boaz Weinstein was co-head of global credit trading at Deutsche Bank, where he oversaw approximately 650 professionals. We discuss why being long volatility in an era of Fed tightening is so challenging, and why so many funds that hedged have disappointed this year.
Financial Times M&A
NOVEMBER 30, 2022
Plus, Wall Street gets in on the day-trading game and Nestlé fesses up to some past M&A mistakes
Mish Talk
NOVEMBER 26, 2022
Worst of Its Kind? Bloomberg writer Merryn Somerset Webb says FTX Crypto Bubble Really Is the Worst of Its Kind. Investment bubbles tend to leave behind something useful when they pop. Unfortunately, crypto looks like an outlier. Webb compares the crypto bubble to the bicycle bubble of 1896 that left us with better bicycles, automobiles that were initially so slow people mocked them with "get a horse", and the DotCom bust that left us with far better technology.
Integrity Financial Planning
NOVEMBER 28, 2022
These days, retirement planning will likely involve Individual Retirement Accounts in one way or another. Whether you’re looking to roll over a 401(k), optimize your withdrawal timing, or take advantage of catch-up contributions, your IRA strategy may be one of the main components of your income strategy. So, let’s talk about the Roth IRA and its unique value at the end of the calendar year.
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