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Don’t fight the Fed used to be a positive slogan. That’s not the case anymore. If anything, it feels like the Fed wants to fight us, all of us, including the stock market and the economy. The Fed is actively trying to crash the stock market, break the housing market and push the economy into a recession. How do I know this? Because Fed officials are literally telling us this every time they speak.
Around the world, markets lost 5% or worse just last week. Year to date, the S&P 500 is down more than 23%; the Russell 2000 small caps are off more than 26%; Emerging markets are down almost 28%; and the Nasdaq Tech index is off more than 31%. All jokes aside , September has lived up to its reputation as a challenging month for equities. After the brutal sell-off, a relief rally was due, hence the green on your screen this morning.
All of the value creation for investors comes from the actions they take in falling markets, not rising ones. If you’re not yet in retirement and not finished putting money into your retirement accounts, every 5% the market falls is an increased opportunity for you to buy things that will be worth much more in the future when you eventually sell them.
In the midst of the pandemic-induced market panic in March of 2020, I wrote a piece that explained why I was more worried about the bond market than the stock market. These were the yields on U.S. government bonds at the time: This was a waterfall all the way down moment across the entire maturity spectrum. It may have seemed bizarre to worry about the bond market when these were the trailing returns over the previous 12.
This week, we speak with Steve Case , co-founder of America On-Line (AOL), founder of investment firm Revolution , Chair of the Smithsonian, and author of The Rise of the Rest: How Entrepreneurs in Surprising Places are Building the New American Dream. We discuss how he launched America Online in 1985 back when the internet was restricted to academia and the government.
Okay don’t press the <Buy> because of this but maybe reconsider pressing the <Sell> button if you haven’t already… The AAII sentiment poll hit 60% Bears this week. History says the more pessimistic the investor class becomes, the better the prospective returns look six months out. The way I think about this is that the only thing that could make investors really bearish is a big sell-off in t.
Last week I wrote about navigating the pain of your first bear market after receiving a question from a young person about how to survive down markets. The natural follow-up question, which I received from a number of readers, is this: Sure, it makes sense for young people to stay the course and keep investing during down markets. But I’m retired.
For years, we have heard that “there is no alternative” – TINA – to equities, and that thanks to the Fed, “Cash is trash.”. No longer. The Federal Reserve, in its belated attempt to fight inflation, has cranked up rates to the point where today, there is an alternative to stocks: Bonds. It’s been over two decades since the Fed first began panic cutting interest rates in response to such events as the 1998 Long Term Capital Management implosion, the 2000 dotcom crash (2001-03), the Septembe
And if you haven’t subscribed yet, don’t wait. Check it out below or wherever fine podcasts are played. . The post This Week on TRB appeared first on The Reformed Broker.
A little less than one year ago I asked Are U.S. Housing Prices Becoming Unaffordable? At the time, the Case Shiller National Home Price Index had just hit a new all-time high for year-over-year price gains of around 20%. That meant monthly mortgage payments for median single family home prices were reaching all-time highs: But if you adjusted those monthly payments for inflation things didn’t look so bad: Adjust.
The weekend is here! Pour yourself a mug of BeanBox coffee, grab a seat int he den, and get ready for our longer-form weekend reads: • LaGuardia Airport Is No Longer the Worst. This Team Fixed It : An elite squad was tasked with making sure the gleaming Terminal B was ready to open. There are lessons from LaGuardia for every business. ( Wall Street Journal ). • The robots are here.
There is no lack of inflation data that we see on a near daily basis; however, the question remains – how long will this elevated inflation level last? With all the talk of inflation, several terms are thrown around: CPI, Core, PCE, and more – ad nauseam. Core CPI is an attempt to strip out the most variable drivers of inflation (namely food and energy) from the base (or “headline”) CPI number, but the costs of food and energy can infiltrate into core CPI items such as apparel and househol
Today’s Talk Your Book is presented by SpiderRock Advisors: On today’s show, we spoke with Eric Metz, President and CIO of SpiderRock Advisors about the benefits and intricacies of managed option strategies. On today’s show we discuss: Who SpiderRock Advisors works with The creation of SpiderRock, and its relationship with BlackRock The investment process with SpiderRock Options strategy and tax con.
My back-to-work morning train WFH reads: • What is the Fed Doing? Don’t fight the Fed used to be a positive slogan. That’s not the case anymore. If anything, it feels like the Fed wants to fight us, all of us, including the stock market and the economy. The Fed is actively trying to crash the stock market, break the housing market and push the economy into a recession.
When the winter season comes around, you’ll likely have to adjust your routines and prepare for the cold. If you’re in colder states, you may be looking to purchase a new winter coat or snow boots, or skiing equipment for your winter holidays. Or you may be restocking your snow salt for what are soon-to-be icy sidewalks and driveways. If you live in warmer states, maybe you’ve closed your windows and patios and put your fans and AC units away.
In a Nutshell: According to Antonia Hock, the traditional corporate leadership style is dead and the pandemic just accelerated a series of trends that have empowered workers to find more meaning in their jobs and more balance in their lives. If you’re not helping your top people achieve those goals, they won’t be motivated to help your company achieve much of anything.
At Future Proof , I spoke with hosts Jeffrey Sherman and Samuel Lau of Doubleline + The Sherman Show about investing, the future of financial conferences, and why not failing means you are not taking enough risk. It’s fun conversation, and Jeff & Sam are great hosts. TSS Episode 125: Barry Ritholtz on Financial Advisers, Clients, Market Outlooks and Building Portfolios.
By Matt Pais, MDRT Content Specialist Sometimes you may see other advisors working more successfully with clients. Fred O’Connor, ChFC, CFP, a nine-year MDRT member from Deerfield, Illinois, says it’s not because those advisors are different from you — they’re just getting in front of the right people. “You see successful people in this business, and some of them have these great clients or they had a big case.
It’s no secret that inflation, or an increase in the price of goods and services, has been unusually high for much of 2022. While it’s always important to get the most out of your savings, it’s especially important to do so when inflation is high and your cash is at a much greater risk of […]. The post How Can I Protect My Cash When Inflation Is High?
At USV, our climate thesis is about both mitigating and adapting to the climate crisis. One way we can adapt to the climate crisis is by building a more resilient energy supply system. Demand Response is one of many approaches that will be necessary to do that. Demand Response is when consumers of energy voluntarily cut back on energy consumption in reaction to peak demand situations.
By Ross G. Hultgren, CFP, DFP I am going to share what I have learned from attending MDRT Annual Meetings during the last 30 years. These ideas can change the way you engage with your clients and the experience they have with you during your conversations. You can immediately start trying these ideas, concepts and questions. Furthermore, the concepts can be used by every financial advisor regardless of age, experience or client base.
9 MIN READ. No matter if you are looking to expand your team or need to replace a position due to turnover, hiring in today’s labor market can easily make one feel a little uneasy. New expectations regarding the workplace and its benefits make finding and retaining talent a full-time job in and of itself. While there is no bulletproof solution to the new area of recruitment, there are key tips and best practices that can help you make a new hire.
? ?. Visual Capitalist : “The sharp rise in interest rates has sent shockwaves through markets. The S&P 500 Index has steadily declined ~20% year-to-date, and the NASDAQ Composite Index has fallen ~30%. Bond markets are also showing signs of uncertainty, with the 10-year minus 2-year Treasury yield curve acting as a prime example. This yield curve subtracts the return on short-term government bonds from long-term government bonds.” The post Visualizing Interest Rates Since 2020 a
By Susanne Tedrick No single person, no matter how intelligent or experienced they are, can understand everything there is to know about being a financial advisor. You can only go so far on your own. Questions come up when working with clients or perhaps about how to manage a team or run your own business. When they do, you need to have a handle on what specific support is needed and how to ask for it.
You’ve probably heard it a million times and will most likely listen to it a million more, but video marketing is here to stay. With over 54% of consumers wanting to see more video content , it’s hard not to justify using it in your marketing campaigns. As technology evolves, so does the best way to reach clients and potential prospects.
My morning train WFH reads: • The Forbes 400 2022: The Definitive Ranking of The Wealthiest Americans : In 2022 The wealthiest people in the U.S. are poorer than a year ago—and the cutoff to make the list fell for the first time since the Great Recession. ( Forbes ). • Sympathy for the Dimon : He’s dealing with an important shortage: Balance Sheet. ( Financial Times ) see also The Reinvention of Goldman Sachs : what has David Solomon achieved?
Founder Friday is a content series from SuperAngel.Fund highlighting companies in our portfolio and the inspiring founders behind them. In our 30th(!) edition we are featuring Jordan Nathan , Founder & CEO of Caraway , a modern home brand famous for its non-toxic, non-stick, ceramic cookware, and recent expansions into bakeware, linens and accessories.
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